Wind power forecasts for utilities

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The charts show wind speed and power generation for a particular turbine and comes from a poster on Forecasting and Operation Assessment by a team from WindLogics. The poster tells how nacelle-mounted anemometers can be a valuable resource for forecasting and operational assessment.

An industry partnership will provide more accurate weather predictions than previously available, helping utilities integrate wind power successfully and efficiently. Telvent, a real-time IT solutions and information company for a sustainable world, says it is partnering with WindLogics to offer accurate wind-power forecasts to utility markets worldwide. Telvent already provide to utilities for load forecasting, due to its accurate temperature forecasts.

The collaboration seems well timed because as wind becomes a larger part of power portfolios, it is more important for utilities to rely on accurate data to understand how much power can be expected from wind sources and how weather conditions may affect operations. The new offering, called Wind Power Forecasts from WindLogics, is said to have the most accurate predictions available from proprietary forecasting technology. This information will let utilities better maintain system reliability and integrate wind power into their mix, thereby minimizing costs associated with variable sources.

“Utilities need a way to accurately predict the amount of power that will be generated from wind sources,” says Televent CEO Ignacio Gonzalez. “The partnership between Telvent and WindLogics will help utilities run as efficiently as possible.”

As part of the agreement, Telvent will be the exclusive provider of WindLogics’ forecasts to utilities in North America, distributing forecasts with its reliable delivery system.

Telvent is a global IT company that provides business information services to helping improve efficiency, safety and security for the world’s leading companies. Telvent serves markets that include the energy, transportation, agricultural and environmental sectors.)

Telvent

www.telvent.com

Windlogics

Windlogics.com

Handling lightning on a North Dakota wind farm

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Although the map is for the Omaha region, its information is similar to that received by crews at the Langdon Wind Energy Center. In addition to watching storms as they pass through their region, crews at Langdon use hourly and 10-day forecasts to schedule routine maintenance. The weather services come from Telvent

North Dakota’s flat plains and strong, steady winds make it ideal for wind farms. But this part of the country is especially susceptible to extreme weather conditions. Summer brings the threat of lightning strikes to the 300-foot tall turbines and brutally cold temperatures are commonplace in winter.

The Langdon Wind Energy Center operates a 133-turbine facility owned by NextEra Energy Resources and capable of producing 199.5 MW. To ensure the turbines operate at peak-efficiency, a team of 12 technicians perform routine maintenance duties and are on-call 24/7 in case of an emergency.

“In addition to lightning risks, we don’t send out crews if it’s colder than -28°C,” says Bill Campbell, plant leader for Langdon Wind Energy Center. “In cases of extreme cold, we only send out crews when absolutely necessary.”

To help navigate its weather challenges, the Wind Energy Center subscribes to MxVision WeatherSentry Online Wind Energy Edition professional package. Its services come from IT company Telvent. By accessing an internet-based platform, the Center stays on top of changing weather conditions that endanger operations.

For a complete view of approaching severe weather, the Center monitors radar and tracks storms, wind, and lightning on one centralized online dashboard. It features a weather map with layers that let personnel look at the specific weather information most important to its operations. This includes National Weather Service (NWS) warnings, watches, and advisories. Another layer includes custom areas of maximum impact based on parameters set by the Center to reflect how weather is affecting the exact location of its turbines.

In addition to the online dashboard, the Center uses a mobile alerting system to view current and future conditions. To stay one step ahead of the weather, employees also have access to all of the online dashboard’s weather information on their mobile phones. Additionally, personalized alerts are sent instantly to employees’ phones when severe weather nears user-defined alerting parameters. This is especially important for field technicians performing maintenance tasks.

“We let the technicians know when lightning has been detected within 60 miles,” said Campbell. “When lightning is detected within 30 miles, we require crews to evacuate the turbines.”

The mobile alerts are fed from an alert manager that provides instant notification of significant weather changes within their coverage area. When weather conditions, such as wind-speed changes or when the NWS issues a watch, warning, or advisory, an audible alarm goes off through the online dashboard. “The system alerts us by sounding a siren letting us know we must either monitor weather conditions more closely or evacuate crews,” says Campbell.

The most critical weather component for the Center is the Lightning Manager. Receiving advanced warning of real-time lightning strikes from real-time lightning data is much safer than predictions that can lead to false alarms or delayed reporting after lightning has already struck.

Five Langdon crew members use the system. They can access weather data in the office, on the wind farm, and at their homes. “If my guys get called in over a weekend, I can log on from home to find out what’s going on with the weather and ensure their safety,” says Campbell

In addition to watching storms as they pass through the area, Campbell and his technicians use hourly and 10-day forecasts to schedule routine maintenance. This allows for more efficient planning. For example, a wind turbine should not be slated for cleaning with a rain storm impending.

Although this type of renewable energy relies on the wind to generate electricity, too much wind can also impact operations and safety. If winds are too strong, crews cannot work on the turbine’s hub. Although each turbine has a wind speed indicator, Langdon Wind Energy Center also relies on Telvent for wind speed and direction to ensure optimal safety.

As a result of implementing an advanced weather information service, Campbell and his technicians have been able to improve operational efficiencies while ensuring the highest level of safety. “Safety is a shared value at our company,” said Campbell. “We rely heavily on the real-time weather information to keep our technicians safe and operations running efficiently.”

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A larger version of the map above shows a few selections for crews on the right.